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Tuesday, November 06, 2012


fred lapides

Silver had his job on the line. "Pundits" express their dreams and lose nothing because the same bias media spots--cable shows, radio etc--will keep them on the payroll no matter what.
What we now know: if you ask of a person not Who you would vote for but rather Who Will Win, you find that your polls become more valid. That leads to stock market betting, ie, Intrade.com, where people bet on various things, including elections, and they vote for Who and not their preferred candidates. They too were right on the election outcomes.

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